Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Ukraine News. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. Mandela Barnes. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Sign up now! Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. 33. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Yorkshire Post. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Most young men are single. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Mandela Barnes. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. as well as other partner offers and accept our. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes sought. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Morry Gash/Associated Press The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX Johnson leads with men and older voters.. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes | Morry Gash/Associated Press. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. The. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Market data provided by Factset. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. That poll . Mandela Barnes in his bid for a third term in office. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. Lt. Gov. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. . Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. A Fox News survey of. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Hungry? With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. Show us your political mailers! Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Home; News. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. . But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. 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